Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Wednesday: Results and Predictions

Given the late hour, I'm rushing the projection for today's votes (and hopefully this post lands before those results start rolling in).

I expect Sanders to continue to perform well in Spokane county - although I honestly think that my SMOV% may favor Sanders a little too heavily.  The Monday SMOV% was 53.80, so a 2% drop, assuming the same number of ballots counted, would mean a pickup of only 1,226 votes (instead of 1,897).   Assuming King again only counts about 40,000 votes, the net gain of 7,800 votes for Wiggins there should leave him up about 7,383 votes for the day.

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