With only five counties reporting yesterday (Pierce, Snohomish, Spokane, Kitsap, & Whatcom) -- and none reporting today -- this is a good opportunity to catch up on the totals from yesterday and look at some of the other interesting trends in the race.
The SMOV [see Terminology post] continues to tell the tale. Here's a look at all 5 counties:
Nov. 4 SMOV: 54.73% (on 188,274 total votes)
Nov. 5 SMOV: 52.41% (on 10,193 net new votes)
Nov. 6 SMOV: 53.06% (+0.65%) (on 5,194 net new votes)
Nov. 4 SMOV: 52.27% (on 144,798 total votes)
Nov. 5 SMOV: 51.17% (on 22,768 net new votes)
Nov. 6 SMOV: 50.84% (-0.33%) (on 23,332 net new votes)
Nov. 4 SMOV: 55.88% (on 92,523 total votes)
Nov. 5 SMOV: 53.86% (on 7,971 net new votes)
Nov. 6 SMOV: 53.80% (-0.06%) (on 15,882 net new votes)
Nov. 4 SMOV: 47.14% (on 61,580 total votes)
Nov. 5 SMOV: 44.62% (on 9,291 net new votes)
Nov. 6 SMOV: 47.22% (+2.60%) (on 2,425 net new votes)
Nov. 4 SMOV: 51.54% (on 49,797 total votes)
Nov. 5 SMOV: 47.00% (on 6,209 net new votes)
Nov. 6 SMOV: 51.50% (+4.50%) (on 2,637 net new votes)
The good news for the Sanders fans is the sharp uptick in Kitsap and particularly in Whatcom. Whatcom had been leaning (marginally) for Sanders until Friday, so this result conforms a little better with what we had been seeing so far. Of course, the bad news is that Whatcom only has 12,000 ballots remaining. Even assuming that the new SMOV of 51.50% holds, Sanders would only pick up a net gain of 260 to 262 votes (using the VCRs of 72.37% from Friday and 73.05% from Saturday).
The good news for the Wiggins folks is that SMOV continues to decline in Spokane and Snohomish. Although Sanders still maintains a 53.8% SMOV in Spokane, the 50.84 SMOV in Snohomish effectively neutralizes it as a source for net Sanders votes to counteract the bump that Wiggins will get from King.